The Future of the Iraqi Government

The premature jubilation of our commander-in-chief notwithstanding, it's interesting to think about what form of government Iraq is likely to have in another few years. For my money, one needs look no further than Iraq's relatively mature (in a political sense) neighbor to the East. I would be thrilled if some one could convince me that there's some compelling set of reasons that preclude Iraq's devolving into the same type of fundamentalist theocracy that is thriving in Iran.